Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 19.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 over 19.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

6 quoted books: 19.5–21.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.6 → latest five: 5 opportunities/game. Change: +38.9%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04NE721
2026-09-27LAC2432
2026-09-18DET2587
2026-09-13HOU4065
2026-01-17 PODEN2566
2026-01-11 POJAX1553
2026-01-04NYJ2633
2025-12-21CLE010
2025-12-14NE2443
2025-12-07CIN2054

Compare books

bet365 · Over 19.5 (-135)Updated Oct 9, 2:04 PM ET

fanatics · Over 19.5 (-140)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

betmgm · Over 20.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 21.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 21.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 21.5 (-117)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 21.5 (-111)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Under 21.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 21.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

betmgm · Under 20.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET