No clear lean · Research notes

Over 4.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 4.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.6 → latest five: 6.6 targets/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus4.5-137-137
B3654.5-125—
FD ↗4.5+102-136
Novig ↗4.5+117-133
HRB4.5-105-125
CZR ↗4.5-102-138
DK4.5+103-131
MGM ↗4.5-115-115
FAN4.5+105-155
PIN4.5-112-118
Underdog ↗4.5DFS projection · pick’em
PP ↗4.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game4.8
Targets29
Target share24%
Catch %66%
Season 2026: 19 rec · 219 yds · red-zone targets 6 (26% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4NYJ64630
2026 · W3PHI117611
2026 · W2MIN73320
2026 · W1CAR55630
2025 · W18DET43350
2025 · W17SF981381
2025 · W15CLE76840
2025 · W14GB64670
2025 · W13PHI64330
2025 · W12PIT53460