2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 7.6 → latest five: 5.8 targets/game. Change: -23.7%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| FD ↗ | 4.5 | -106 | -125 |
| Novig ↗ | 4.5 | -104 | -102 |
| CZR ↗ | 4.5 | -117 | -115 |
| HRB | 4.5 | -115 | -115 |
| DK | 4.5 | -127 | +100 |
| PIN | 4.5 | -126 | -105 |
| B365 | 4.5 | -135 | +105 |
| FAN | 4.5 | -115 | -125 |
| MGM ↗ | 4.5 | -125 | -105 |
| PP ↗ | 4.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Underdog ↗ | 4.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | DEN | 6 | 4 | 70 | 1 |
| 2026 · W3 | ARI | 7 | 6 | 82 | 2 |
| 2026 · W2 | MIA | 4 | 4 | 80 | 1 |
| 2026 · W1 | LA | 5 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | SEA | 7 | 5 | 29 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | IND | 8 | 7 | 115 | 1 |
| 2025 · W15 | TEN | 9 | 8 | 88 | 1 |
| 2025 · W13 | CLE | 5 | 4 | 67 | 0 |
| 2025 · W12 | CAR | 10 | 6 | 78 | 0 |
| 2025 · W11 | ARI | 6 | 6 | 67 | 2 |