Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 5.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 5.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

7 quoted books: 5.5–5.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 7.2 → latest five: 6.6 targets/game. Change: -8.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus5.5-104-126
FD ↗5.5-102-130
Novig ↗5.5+111-117
HRB5.5-105-125
B3655.5+100—
CZR ↗5.5-103-129
DK5.5-101-126
MGM ↗5.5-111-120
FAN5.5+105-155
PP ↗5.5DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗4.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game6.0
Targets22
Target share22%
Catch %82%
Season 2026: 18 rec · 352 yds · red-zone targets 4 (29% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4TEN1081181
2026 · W3DAL65840
2026 · W1IND651501
2025 · W18PIT641382
2025 · W17GB54301
2025 · W16NE77841
2025 · W15CIN53681
2025 · W14PIT1181240
2025 · W13CIN7260
2025 · W12NYJ65580