No clear lean · Research notes

Over 5.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 5.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2 → latest five: 1.4 opportunities/game. Change: -30%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04PHI421
2026-09-11SF811
2026-01-18 POCHI2022
2025-12-19SEA1911
2025-12-14DET010
2025-12-07ARI511
2025-11-30CAR010
2025-11-24TB1333
2025-11-16SEA911
2025-10-19JAX942

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fanduel · Over 5.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 5.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET