No clear lean · Research notes

Over 13.5

3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 14.5

2/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 4.4 opportunities/game. Change: +57.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-09-27KC4275
2026-09-20SF1132
2026-09-13LV1222
2026-01-04NE2043
2025-12-28TB2365
2025-12-21CIN2933
2025-12-16PIT2922
2025-12-07NYJ2333
2025-11-30NO2122
2025-11-16WSH1442

Compare books

fanduel · Over 13.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 14.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 14.5 (-119)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Under 13.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET