No clear lean · Research notes

Over 20.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 21.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.4 → latest five: 8.4 opportunities/game. Change: +250%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04TB1373
2026-09-25ATL45125
2026-09-20NYJ1864
2026-09-13MIN42126
2026-01-11 POCHI3654
2026-01-04MIN831
2025-12-28BAL1231
2025-12-21CHI010
2025-12-14DEN2743
2025-12-07CHI010

Compare books

draftkings · Over 20.5 (-105)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 20.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 21.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 21.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 20.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 20.5 (-123)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET