2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 10 → latest five: 12.2 targets/game. Change: +22%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 80.5 | -114 | -115 |
| FD ↗ | 78.5 | -114 | -114 |
| HRB | 79.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Novig ↗ | 78.5 | -122 | +108 |
| CZR ↗ | 79.5 | -114 | -111 |
| DK | 80.5 | -110 | -114 |
| MGM ↗ | 82.5 | -115 | -115 |
| PIN | 80.5 | -114 | -116 |
| Underdog ↗ | 79.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| PP ↗ | 80.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | CAR | 11 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | NYJ | 8 | 4 | 19 | 1 |
| 2026 · W2 | BUF | 13 | 9 | 142 | 2 |
| 2026 · W1 | NO | 14 | 10 | 67 | 2 |
| 2025 · W18 | CHI | 15 | 11 | 139 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | MIN | 13 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | PIT | 9 | 4 | 54 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | LA | 18 | 13 | 164 | 2 |
| 2025 · W14 | DAL | 9 | 6 | 92 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | GB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |