No clear lean · Research notes

Over 14.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 14.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 2.8 opportunities/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	NE	3	4	1
2026-09-18	DET	43	3	1
2026-09-13	HOU	34	2	1
2026-01-04	NYJ	1	3	1
2025-12-28	PHI	12	2	1
2025-12-21	CLE	2	1	1
2025-12-14	NE	16	2	1
2025-11-21	HOU	11	4	2
2025-11-16	TB	13	5	2
2025-10-13	ATL	45	2	2

Compare books

caesars · Over 14.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 14.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Over 14.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

fanatics · Over 14.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

bet365 · Over 19.5 (+160)Updated Oct 9, 2:04 PM ET

draftkings · Under 14.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Under 14.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 14.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET