No clear lean · Research notes

Over 23.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 25.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 10 → latest five: 11.8 opportunities/game. Change: +18%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-06	ATL	44	12	8
2026-09-27	LV	19	13	9
2026-09-20	BAL	21	10	8
2026-09-13	DET	47	13	10
2025-12-28	TEN	60	11	8
2025-12-21	NYJ	38	16	10
2025-12-14	CAR	18	9	6
2025-12-07	TB	12	5	3
2025-11-30	MIA	17	7	4
2025-11-23	ATL	16	13	9

Compare books

draftkings · Over 23.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 24.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 25.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 25.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 24.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 23.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET