No clear lean · Research notes

Over 35.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 38.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6 → latest five: 6.2 targets/game. Change: +3.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus36.5-120-110
FD ↗36.5-114-114
HRB36.5-120-110
Novig ↗36.5-111-122
FAN35.5-120-125
CZR36.5-108-125
DK38.5-109-115
MGM ↗38.5-115-115
PIN36.5-114-114
CIR37.5-110-110
PP ↗37.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets27
Target share20%
Catch %78%
Yds / rec10.2
Season 2026: 21 rec · 214 yds · red-zone targets 2 (14% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4DAL2290
2026 · W3IND33300
2026 · W2CIN14121400
2026 · W1BUF84350
2025 · W18IND44730
2025 · W17LAC43190
2025 · W16LV55351
2025 · W15ARI98761
2025 · W14KC43220
2025 · W13IND87550