No clear lean · Research notes

Over 32.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 35.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5.2 → latest five: 4.4 targets/game. Change: -15.4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for SF and WAS; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	34.5	-120	-110
FD ↗	34.5	-114	-114
Novig ↗	34.5	-113	+106
HRB	33.5	-120	-110
FAN	35.5	-110	-135
DK	32.5	-114	-110
PIN	34.5	-114	-114
MGM ↗	33.5	-115	-115
PP ↗	33.5	DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗	34.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets17

Target share16%

Catch %82%

Yds / rec13.2

Season 2026: 14 rec · 185 yds · red-zone targets 5 (24% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	DEN	6	5	26	1
2026 · W3	ARI	0	0	80	1
2026 · W2	MIA	4	3	31	0
2026 · W1	LA	7	6	48	1
2025 · W18	PHI	5	2	20	0
2025 · W17	DAL	4	2	68	0
2025 · W16	PHI	4	3	35	0
2025 · W15	NYG	5	3	43	0
2025 · W14	MIN	6	4	27	0
2025 · W13	DEN	7	5	64	0