Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 33.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 over 33.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

7 quoted books: 33.5–34.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 31 → latest five: 28 opportunities/game. Change: -9.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 10, 3:20 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Attempts	Completions
2026-10-04	DEN	56	30	19
2026-09-27	ARI	82	27	15
2026-09-20	MIA	40	22	20
2026-09-11	LAR	39	34	25
2026-01-18 PO	SEA	19	27	15
2026-01-11 PO	PHI	61	31	18
2026-01-04	SEA	20	27	19
2025-12-29	CHI	38	33	24
2025-12-23	IND	26	34	25
2025-12-14	TEN	38	30	23

Compare books

novig · Over 33.5 (+108)Updated Oct 10, 3:16 PM ET

caesars · Over 33.5 (+100)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanduel · Over 33.5 (-102)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Over 33.5 (-108)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 33.5 (-110)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

betmgm · Over 34.5 (+110)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanatics · Over 34.5 (+100)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

betmgm · Under 34.5 (-150)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Under 33.5 (-120)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 33.5 (-120)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

caesars · Under 33.5 (-130)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanduel · Under 33.5 (-130)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET