Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 31.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

6/10 over 31.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

6 quoted books: 31.5–34.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 30.6 → latest five: 29 opportunities/game. Change: -5.2%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 10, 3:20 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for NYJ and LV; team changes may affect usage.
L10 is mixed: 6/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Attempts	Completions
2026-10-04	CHI	58	15	8
2026-09-27	DET	43	37	31
2026-09-20	GB	43	41	27
2026-09-13	TEN	40	24	19
2025-12-28	NYG	26	28	20
2025-12-21	HOU	60	23	16
2025-12-07	DEN	17	21	13
2025-11-30	LAC	27	23	18
2025-11-23	CLE	33	44	30
2025-11-18	DAL	26	42	27

Compare books

fanduel · Over 31.5 (-114)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Over 31.5 (-115)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 31.5 (-120)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

caesars · Over 31.5 (-121)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

betmgm · Over 32.5 (-115)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanatics · Over 34.5 (-105)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

betmgm · Under 32.5 (-115)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

caesars · Under 31.5 (-109)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 31.5 (-110)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Under 31.5 (-113)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

fanduel · Under 31.5 (-114)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET