No clear lean · Research notes

Over 29.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 31.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 32.6 → latest five: 24.4 opportunities/game. Change: -25.2%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 10, 3:20 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Attempts	Completions
2026-10-04	BAL	33	31	20
2026-09-27	NYG	20	36	23
2026-09-20	PHI	41	20	13
2026-09-13	NYJ	14	32	19
2026-01-04	JAX	39	3	3
2025-12-28	NO	43	40	21
2025-12-21	KC	34	28	21
2025-12-14	SF	43	29	18
2025-12-07	CLE	24	28	14
2025-11-30	JAX	16	38	24

Compare books

draftkings · Over 29.5 (-110)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

caesars · Over 29.5 (-117)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 29.5 (-120)Updated Oct 10, 3:16 PM ET

betmgm · Over 30.5 (-115)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanduel · Over 31.5 (-108)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanatics · Over 34.5 (+120)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanduel · Under 31.5 (-122)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

betmgm · Under 30.5 (-115)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 29.5 (-110)Updated Oct 10, 3:16 PM ET

caesars · Under 29.5 (-113)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Under 29.5 (-117)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET