No clear lean · Research notes

Over 38.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 38.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 29.4 → latest five: 39.6 opportunities/game. Change: +34.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 10, 3:20 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Attempts	Completions
2026-10-04	DAL	52	31	21
2026-09-27	IND	28	27	16
2026-09-20	CIN	35	55	30
2026-09-13	BUF	35	38	26
2026-01-18 PO	NE	42	47	20
2026-01-13 PO	PIT	46	32	21
2026-01-04	IND	33	23	14
2025-12-27	LAC	75	28	16
2025-12-21	LV	24	35	23
2025-12-14	ARI	57	29	22

Compare books

fanduel · Over 38.5 (-114)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

caesars · Over 38.5 (-117)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Over 38.5 (-119)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

fanatics · Over 39.5 (+105)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Under 38.5 (-109)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

caesars · Under 38.5 (-113)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanduel · Under 38.5 (-114)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET