Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 36.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 over 36.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 36.5–39.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 30.6 → latest five: 25.2 opportunities/game. Change: -17.6%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 10, 3:20 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
Workload moves against this historical trend. This is context, not an eligibility exclusion.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Attempts	Completions
2026-10-06	NO	37	20	15
2026-09-25	GB	68	25	18
2025-11-16	CAR	41	16	13
2025-11-09	IND	30	28	12
2025-11-02	NE	40	37	22
2025-10-20	SF	38	38	21
2025-10-13	BUF	39	32	20
2025-09-28	WSH	69	26	20
2025-09-21	CAR	25	36	18
2025-09-15	MIN	21	21	13

Compare books

draftkings · Over 36.5 (-111)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

caesars · Over 36.5 (-117)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanduel · Over 36.5 (-118)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanatics · Over 39.5 (+120)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanduel · Under 36.5 (-112)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

caesars · Under 36.5 (-113)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Under 36.5 (-117)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET