Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

5/5 under 37.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 37.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

5 quoted books: 35.5–37.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 33 → latest five: 26.8 opportunities/game. Change: -18.8%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 10, 3:20 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Attempts	Completions
2026-10-04	CIN	29	23	18
2026-09-27	NE	23	29	19
2026-09-20	DEN	32	29	17
2026-09-13	CLE	32	23	18
2026-01-11 PO	BUF	34	30	18
2026-01-04	TEN	29	30	22
2025-12-28	IND	37	37	23
2025-12-21	DEN	63	36	23
2025-12-14	NYJ	45	32	20
2025-12-07	IND	39	30	17

Compare books

betmgm · Over 35.5 (-120)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Over 37.5 (-114)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

caesars · Over 37.5 (-114)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanduel · Over 37.5 (-114)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

novig · Over 37.5 (-223)Updated Oct 10, 3:16 PM ET

fanatics · Over 39.5 (+110)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Under 37.5 (-113)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

fanduel · Under 37.5 (-114)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

caesars · Under 37.5 (-117)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

novig · Under 37.5 (-150)Updated Oct 10, 3:16 PM ET

betmgm · Under 35.5 (-110)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET