Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 39.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

5/10 over 39.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 39.5–40.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 42.2 → latest five: 39.4 opportunities/game. Change: -6.6%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 10, 3:20 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 5/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Attempts	Completions
2026-10-04	PHI	32	51	32
2026-09-28	DEN	49	55	30
2026-09-22	NYG	64	31	22
2026-09-11	SF	41	25	15
2026-01-25 PO	SEA	44	35	22
2026-01-18 PO	CHI	35	42	20
2026-01-10 PO	CAR	36	42	24
2026-01-04	ARI	22	40	25
2025-12-30	ATL	36	38	22
2025-12-19	SEA	58	49	29

Compare books

fanatics · Over 39.5 (-115)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 40.5 (-110)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

caesars · Over 40.5 (-110)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

draftkings · Over 40.5 (-112)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

draftkings · Under 40.5 (-116)Updated Oct 10, 3:15 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 40.5 (-120)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

caesars · Under 40.5 (-120)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET