No clear lean · Research notes

Over 37.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 39.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 25.8 → latest five: 40 opportunities/game. Change: +55%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 10, 3:20 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Attempts	Completions
2026-10-04	TB	25	30	22
2026-09-25	ATL	45	53	28
2026-09-20	NYJ	20	29	16
2026-09-13	MIN	81	42	21
2026-01-11 PO	CHI	36	46	24
2025-12-21	CHI	20	13	8
2025-12-14	DEN	29	40	24
2025-12-07	CHI	45	25	17
2025-11-27	DET	51	30	18
2025-11-23	MIN	18	21	14

Compare books

betmgm · Over 37.5 (-110)Updated Oct 10, 3:16 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 37.5 (-115)Updated Oct 10, 3:16 PM ET

fanatics · Over 39.5 (+100)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanduel · Over 39.5 (-108)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

fanduel · Under 39.5 (-122)Updated Oct 10, 3:17 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 37.5 (-115)Updated Oct 10, 3:16 PM ET

betmgm · Under 37.5 (-120)Updated Oct 10, 3:16 PM ET